The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. robert kraft granddaughter. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Happy holidays! Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. I'm Galen Truk. By May 21, 2021 0 . Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. Instagram did not return a 200. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. It's a busy week! The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. This is the first episode. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. MANAGER'S SALARY. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . Today those numbers have flipped. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. . Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. police- settlements. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt.